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The Takeaway: Romney Takes New Hampshire; Online Tools Estimate Life Expectancy

Posted By Elizabeth Nolan Brown On January 11, 2012 @ 9:51 am In Bulletin Today | No Comments

[1]Older Voters Support Romney In New Hampshire Win: Mitt Romney followed up his win in the Iowa Republican caucus [2] with a victory in New Hampshire’s primary yesterday-”re­inforcing his standing as the man to beat for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination,” as the Washington Post notes [3]. Rep. Ron Paul finished second, followed by former Utah governor Jon Huntsman. More than half of the GOP primary voters (56 percent) were 50+, and 40% of those older voters cast ballots for Romney. AARP blogger Sandy Johnson takes a more in-depth look [4].

Get An ePrognosis: A newly launched website, ePrognosis.org [5], can help assess life expectancy for older adults. The site, created by researchers at the University of California, estimates an older patient’s likelihood to die within 6 months to five years, based on a variety of conditions. The tools are intended to help doctors, caregivers and patients make decisions about things such as cancer screenings, hospice care, and treatment options. But ePrognosis isn’t just accessible to doctors, as Paula Span at the New York Times notes [6]; interactive tools and relatively open access mean anyone can use the site. 

The tools are available to anyone who checks a box saying he or she is a health care professional; there is no verification.

“As with any scientific data,” cautioned Dr. Mitchell of Hebrew SeniorLife, “it needs some explanation of the accuracy of these prognostic tools. Some are better than others, and none are perfect. The public needs to understand that.”

In the end, the authors decided that creating barriers to public use would make ePrognosis less useful for physicians as well. They also wanted to bring the public into the discussion.

“This is a philosophical question,” said Dr. Lee, who described a trend toward better-informed patients participating in health care decisions. “In general, patients having more information is a good thing.”

Of course, the info provided on ePrognosis is intended as a ‘rough guide’ only. The site’s ‘About’ section notes that it “is not intended to be the only basis for making care decisions, nor is it intended to be a definitive means of prognostication.”

It Takes A Virtual Village: Online, nonprofit membership groups are helping older adults who need a little assistance around the home or completing routine errands [7]. In most cases, these virtual ‘villages’ charge a membership fee, which can range from about $100 to more than $1000 per year. For members, some of the services are free, provided by volunteers. Others are provided by vetted third party vendors-sometimes offering discounted rates-set up by the group. The aim? Recreating old-fashioned social connections to suit a modern world.

“When someone calls us, they may say, ‘I need help with transportation,’” explains Judy Kinney, who directs an aging in place startup called North East Seattle Together [8]. “We’re going to work with them to see if it is a volunteer that helps, if it’s a vetted vendor that helps or there is a community service in place … We help you figure out the best choice.”

Wednesday Quit Hits:

  • In 401(k) plans, alternatives to traditional mutual fund investments-index funds, ETFs-are growing in popularity [10]. These investments offer significantly lower fees than actively managed mutual funds.

Photo: Elise Amendola/AP


Article printed from AARP: http://blog.aarp.org

URL to article: http://blog.aarp.org/2012/01/11/the-takeaway-romney-takes-new-hampshire-online-tools-estimate-life-expectancy/

URLs in this post:

[1] Image: http://aarpblog.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/300-new-hampshire-primary-winner-mitt-romney.jpg

[2] win in the Iowa Republican caucus: http://blog.aarp.org/2012/01/04/iowa-nail-biter-launches-presidential-campaign/

[3] as the Washington Post notes: http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/romney-cruises-to-victory-in-new-hampshire-primary/2012/01/10/gIQAhhkPpP_story.html?hpid=z1

[4] takes a more in-depth look: http://blog.aarp.org/2012/01/11/older-voters-in-new-hampshire-close-ranks-behind-romney/

[5] newly launched website, ePrognosis.org: http://eprognosis.org

[6] as Paula Span at the New York Times notes: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/11/health/using-interactive-tools-to-assess-the-likelihood-of-death.html?emc=eta

[7] are helping older adults who need a little assistance around the home or completing routine errands: http://www.voanews.com/english/news/usa/Virtual-Village-Helps-Elderly-Stay-in-Own-Home-137026053.html

[8] North East Seattle Together: http://www.nestseattle.org/

[9] could save the federal government $148 billion over 10 years: http://www.nationaljournal.com/healthcare/raising-medicare-age-would-save-148-billion-cbo-says-20120110

[10] are growing in popularity: http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i_z1PSndYMFDGsARevEE71bbMvrA?docId=f51264f12db844cf9eec75e13fc6e7da

[11] Did you know that the concept of ‘middle age’ only took root during the Civil War?: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2012/01/10/entertainment/e054712S76.DTL

[12] Huffington Post writer Ann Brenoff believes such a feature : http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ann-brenoff/cars-we-would-like-to-see_b_1194651.html

[13] explores how couples benefit from friendships with other couples: http://yourlife.usatoday.com/sex-relationships/marriage/story/2012-01-08/Couples-benefit-from-friendships-with-other-couples/52457298/1

[14] talks about how aging affects athletes: http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/former-boxing-champion-sugar-ray-leonard-describes-how-aging-affects-athletes/2011/11/22/gIQAHrT9lP_story.html

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